Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.008620 0.009686 0.010855 0.012236 0.013829 0.015614 0.017773
2025-04-27 0.007121 0.008596 0.010359 0.012636 0.015524 0.019100 0.023913
2025-05-04 0.006153 0.007780 0.009833 0.012647 0.016457 0.021513 0.028859
2025-05-11 0.005507 0.007224 0.009489 0.012749 0.017408 0.023964 0.034141
2025-05-18 0.004936 0.006674 0.009052 0.012616 0.017947 0.025841 0.038826
2025-05-25 0.004552 0.006323 0.008829 0.012725 0.018809 0.028253 0.044676
2025-06-01 0.004171 0.005932 0.008494 0.012610 0.019282 0.030091 0.049857
2025-06-08 0.003769 0.005466 0.007997 0.012176 0.019172 0.030934 0.053421
2025-06-15 0.003535 0.005230 0.007820 0.012220 0.019837 0.033149 0.059827
2025-06-22 0.003418 0.005161 0.007893 0.012674 0.021244 0.036850 0.069753
2025-06-29 0.003173 0.004868 0.007578 0.012430 0.021374 0.038207 0.075193
2025-07-06 0.002950 0.004591 0.007264 0.012154 0.021406 0.039366 0.080407
2025-07-13 0.002773 0.004388 0.007072 0.012105 0.021915 0.041657 0.088904
2025-07-20 0.002684 0.004326 0.007120 0.012505 0.023366 0.046154 0.103722
2025-07-27 0.002543 0.004163 0.006972 0.012516 0.024027 0.049064 0.115382
2025-08-03 0.002429 0.004036 0.006877 0.012617 0.024886 0.052555 0.129479
2025-08-10 0.002293 0.003860 0.006678 0.012485 0.025221 0.054878 0.140998
2025-08-17 0.002201 0.003756 0.006601 0.012593 0.026101 0.058668 0.157862
2025-08-24 0.002088 0.003606 0.006427 0.012480 0.026456 0.061208 0.171691
2025-08-31 0.001948 0.003396 0.006119 0.012051 0.026015 0.061611 0.178810
2025-09-07 0.001872 0.003302 0.006032 0.012094 0.026718 0.065200 0.197776
2025-09-14 0.001844 0.003298 0.006125 0.012542 0.028485 0.072084 0.230865
2025-09-21 0.001748 0.003155 0.005922 0.012301 0.028464 0.073835 0.245507